Research Notes

Research & Analytical Notes

Working notes from our analytical desks, on feasibility methodology, the credit standards each capital program applies, and the demand mechanics of individual asset classes. Each note is written to the same test our studies are: what a lender, agency, or credit committee will actually check before it relies on the number.

Published

Latest research notes

Analytical pieces published from our desks. Each is a working read on a methodology, a program standard, or an asset class, sourced and written for the reviewer, not the brochure.

SBA
October 2026

SOP 50 10 8.1: What Changed for Feasibility Studies

Acquisitions now close on trailing EBITDA at 1.25x, the 504 program has a 1.15x floor, and the fee schedule reset. What the October 1, 2026 edition means for the market work a lender orders, asset type by asset type.

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Multifamily
July 2026

Absorption Forensics: Testing a Lease-Up

Deriving a defensible absorption pace from comparables, pipeline, and capture math, then testing it through the reserve and coverage timeline.

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SBA
July 2026

The SBA Feasibility Myth

The regulation says ‘may require.’ The SOP mandates an appraisal. Credit mechanics do the rest: what actually forces a study onto an SBA file.

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SBA
July 2026

Special-Purpose Property Risk

What 1.28 million SBA loan records reveal about single-use collateral, and how special-purpose risk reshapes the equity stack and the study.

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Capital Markets
July 2026

The Coverage-Constrained Takeout

When higher rates size the permanent loan to debt coverage instead of value, and which asset classes hit the coverage wall first.

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USDA
July 2026

The Five USDA Components, Applied

The five components a USDA feasibility study must satisfy, worked through a rural project from economic feasibility to technical support.

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EB-5
July 2026

How EB-5 Jobs Are Actually Counted

Inside the input-output models (RIMS II, IMPLAN, REMI) that convert spending and revenue into the job counts USCIS will accept.

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Methodology
July 2026

The Break-Even Occupancy Trap

Why a project can clear stabilized underwriting yet fail in ramp, and how to size the occupancy cushion that protects debt service.

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Methodology
July 2026

The Trade Area Is the Study

Most rejections trace to a badly drawn trade area. How the boundary is defined, and why it governs every demand number downstream.

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Office
July 2026

Office Repurposing: What Actually Pencils

A lender-grade field guide to office conversions: which buildings convert, at what basis, and where the value reset makes the math work.

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Gas Station
July 2026

Gas Station Demand Per Capita

State-by-state fuel ratios, stations per capita, and inside-sales economics: the demand baseline a fuel-and-c-store study is measured against.

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Gas Station
July 2026

The Forecourt White Space

Where fuel demand has outrun modern supply, reading station density and gallons-per-station to find genuinely underserved forecourt markets.

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USDA
July 2026

The USDA Rural Development Deadline Calendar

The grant and loan-grant deadlines, scoring windows, and feasibility triggers across USDA RD programs, mapped to the calendar a rural deal runs on.

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